April 12, 2020

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April 12, 2020

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Vaccines Work - But what does that mean?

If a vaccine produces antibodies - it's deemed "Effective!" 


But, what’s lacking in that scientific study, is a measurement of duration. How long does the body retain that vaccine induced antibody level? Duration is a pretty critical factor in determining how effective a vaccine is, so why is duration never studied?


Most clinical trials only measure the antibody levels of participating individuals for a few weeks, or months following vaccination. For many vaccinated individuals who have had their antibody titers tested later in life, they’ve discovered that their titer markers declined significantly or disappeared completely, within 2-10 years.


This means that vaccine effectiveness has been grossly exaggerated. Today, when people say "Vaccines work!" they believe that means "Vaccines create Immunity!" or herd immunity, etc. All those phrases have often been used so often, interchangeably, and the phrase interchange has been showcased by the highest levels of government. One example can be witnessed during education provided by the CDC. During a webinar on measles, the nurse educator suggests that prior receipt of "two measles vaccines," is "evidence of immunity." 


Those statements are not scientifically equivalent.


To scientifically conclude that vaccines create immunity, clinical trials would have to be designed to test and measure immunity. Such study has NEVER been conducted. The studies have only ever measured antibodies. That is the case for all childhood vaccines used in the United States and Canada. 


Let's look at what the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has to be say to about whooping cough vaccination. Their website states:

Whooping cough vaccines are effective, but unfortunately the protection they provide is not long lasting.


We regularly hear that 95% of the population needs to be vaccinated to maintain herd immunity. Nova, of PBS, lists figures on their website from research published in 1993, research that provided "immunity thresholds." PBS explained these "thresholds" as meaning "the minimum percentage of immune individuals a community needs to prevent an outbreak." Again, they are using the word "immune" to mean "vaccinated." The immunity threshold for whooping cough is listed at 92-94%.

According to the CDC, between 1962 and 1985, vaccination coverage ranged between 63.6% and 77.9%, and yet there wasn't mass hysteria over illness outbreaks or low vaccination rates. Looking at the last two decades of data, 1996-2016, coverage ranges from 93.7% to 96.2%. So PBS' immunity threshold has been maintained for the entire two decades. That data was for infants receiving 3 doses of vaccine. Looking at the data on children who have received a 4th dose of vaccine, we have never ever hit a 95% coverage rate. Coverage ranges between 81.1% and 85.7%. The last two decades of data (1996 - 2016) show we've maintained the highest rates of vaccination coverage in history, with 13 of those years achieving 95% coverage or better, for children receiving 3 doses of vaccine.


So despite reaching the highest vaccination rates in history, it's only now that we have mass hysteria over outbreaks and our current "meager" vaccination coverage. Why was there no hysteria before, when coverage was substantially less.


report prepared by the CDC, which evaluated the percentage of kindergarteners who were appropriately vaccinated based on the Government recommended vaccination schedule of 2013, shows that:

  • A median rate of 95% of kindergarteners had received the DTaP vaccine, which protects against diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis (whooping cough); (range = 80.9% in Colorado to ≥99.7% in Mississippi)

If you reflect media reporting from any given day, and if you reflect on the data provided by the health authority, you realize that their statements all completely contradict each other. I'll spell it out for you.


We've been vaccinating against whooping cough for 70 years, and it's only been the last 2+ decades that infant vaccination has reached historical highs, hitting 95% coverage many of those years. The CDC's reporting shows that vaccination coverage is also high in the kindergartener population (likely also hitting historical highs). But media regularly reports that the number of anti-vaxxing parents are higher than ever before.


One of the reports has to be false.


Another incredibly important contradiction - we know that an adult dose is a newer recommendation, and few adults stay current on their shots. The CDC has informed us that whooping cough vaccine protection is not long lasting. So the adult population, which constitutes 77.4% of the population - well - they can't be considered immune. That means it's currently IMPOSSIBLE that 92-94% of the population is immune.


Media always states that low vaccination rates will cause massive outbreaks resulting in massive numbers of fatalities. They point to pre-vaccine era data as proof. On the CDC website, it states:

Before pertussis vaccines became widely available in the 1940s, about 200,000 children got sick with it each year in the United States and about 9,000 died as a result of the infection.


If you look at the US Vital Statistics from 1900-1940, you see that deaths from whooping cough were often less than 9000. So it appears that the historical figures the CDC uses are selectively chosen to hype up the fear of death from this illness.


In 2012, after a decade of the highest vaccination levels ever, the US experienced the worst whooping cough outbreak since the 1950s, with about 50,000 cases of illness (pre-vaccine era outbreaks ranged between 103,000 to 265,000 cases). That large 2012 outbreak resulted in 20 deaths. If that 2012 outbreak had been comparable in size to outbreaks of the past, that likely would have translated into 40-120 deaths in 2012. So 40-120 deaths in 2012, compared to 9000 deaths in the pre-vaccine era. That's quite the change in lethality.


To add to those figures, let's look at a different study published in 2006. This study is quoted as saying (emphasis mine):

Pertussis is the only vaccine-preventable disease on the rise in the United States, with increasing incidence in adolescents and adults related to waning immunity.


... pertussis was predominantly an infection of children aged 1 to 5 years, with maternal immunity providing passive protection during an infant’s first year of life. At that time, an average of 175,000 US cases were reported per year (incidence of approximately 150 cases per 100,000 population).


...Increased incidence [today] of pertussis in adolescents and adults relates to waning immunity and, likely, to a combination of previous underreporting and recent improvements in reporting processes. The longer the duration since vaccination, the higher the attack rate.


...Among adults with cough illness, the incidence of confirmed pertussis has been estimated at 170 to 630 cases per 100,000. The rates among adolescents were almost 2-fold higher. Data from a prospective acellular pertussis vaccine efficacy trial (APERT) extrapolate the burden of pertussis to be nearly 1 million US cases annually in persons ≥15 years old.


The paper explains that whooping cough today is severely under-reported because the illness presentation has changed as a result of use of the vaccine. The paper explains that in the pre-vaccine era, the illness was experienced predominantly by children aged one to five, and in this population, the "whoop" within the cough is obvious. Today however, the illness looks, sounds and appears differently because the stereotypical "whoop" is often missing. The groups who don't whoop are infants, adolescents, adults, and the vaccinated, and these groups are the populations who are more likely to experience this illness today. 


Despite widespread use of a vaccine for three full generations now, the data suggests that the rate of pertussis has actually increased and there is more whooping cough today than before. Furthermore, despite a marked increase in the rate of illness, the death rate has done the complete opposite, with a massive decline, and the decline began long before a vaccine was ever available. 


But how could this be? How could there be more whooping cough today?


You were told that vaccine induced antibodies render a person immune to whooping cough. Turns out they don't. Scientific testing on baboons, completed by the FDA in 2013, discovered that the vaccinated baboon population still become infected with the illness, after exposure to whooping cough bacteria. Following exposure, many of the infected animals had no symptoms at all, which sounds like a great thing. Except when researchers then housed these vaccinated/exposed baboons with unvaccinated/unexposed baboons, the vaccinated animals transmitted whooping cough to the unvaccinated ones. 


Baboons manifest the illness in similar ways to humans, so we can draw conclusions from this study to explain what is happening in the human population. Because the vaccinated population becomes infected with whooping cough upon exposure, and their symptoms are mild or lacking, they go to school, they go to work, they meet up with friends, go out in public, and they transmit the illness to anyone they are in contact with - vaccinated and unvaccinated - for 42 days. In contrast, people who weren't vaccinated, when exposed to the illness, they become sick, they know they are sick, and so they stay home because they feel crappy. As a result, they don't spread the illness as much despite being infectious for 38 days. Today, increased rates of whooping cough illness are the result of the vaccinated population because vaccine induced anti-bodies don't create immunity.


Vaccines Work

So to conclude this article, I'd like to explain exactly what is meant, scientifically, when it is stated that "Vaccines work!" The ONLY question asked in effectiveness testing is "Does the vaccine generate an antibody response?" If the vaccine does, then it worked, if it doesn't, then it didn't work. Beyond that, we don't know anything. We can't even be certain how long vaccine works for, because duration of antibodies has NEVER been studied.


Remember what David Graham explained in his interview (emphasis mine):

...the FDA has never assessed the benefit of any drug that it's ever approved. It works on what's called efficacy. Does the drug work or not? Does it lower your blood pressure or does it lower your blood sugar? Not: Does it prolong your life? Does it prevent you from having a heart attack? Those are benefits. All they focus on is efficacy.


What are the benefits of vaccines? End points like immunity created, illness prevented, lives saved, etc. The media and health authority imply that those benefits are actually the vaccine's tested and measured action. They aren't. 


So, when you hear the media or your doctor explain the statement "vaccines work," by saying anything like:

Vaccines prevent...

Vaccines reduce...

Vaccines eradicate...

Vaccines eliminate...

Vaccines save...


Their statements are implying causation - that causation was proven through carefully controlled testing and measurement of that endpoint. BUT, causation has NEVER been established for those endpoints. Those are benefits, and the benefits of vaccines are PRESUMED because of population studies. Population studies cannot prove causation. Population studies show correlations.


Remember, correlation does not equal causation. Currently, correlation is worthy of spotlight attention, and is viewed as "concrete evidence," but ONLY when those correlations support vaccination. There are numerous correlations relied upon by both sides, correlations that oppose each other. At present, open public discussion and debate of the vaccine unfavourable correlations has not be allowed.



CONTINUE to the next article: Ch3: Part 3



Article Sources

  • Nova - Immunity Thresholds Here

  • CDC - Vaccination Coverage Levels 1962-2016 Here

  • CDC - Vaccination Coverage in US Kindergarteners (2013-2014 School Year) Here

  • CDC - Past Vaccination Schedules Here

  • CDC - Whooping Cough Vaccine Here

  • CDC provides historical rate of death from whooping cough at 9000 annually Here

  • Research explains whooping cough death rate peaked at 9269 deaths in 1923 Here

  • United States Public Health Services Vital Statistics Rates in the US 1900-1940 Here

  • CDC Number of Annual Whooping Cough Cases Since 1922 Here

  • CDC - Deaths from 2012 Whooping Cough Outbreak Here

  • FDA - whooping cough study in baboons - the vaccinated become infected and transmit the illness Here

  • Mainstream Media Reports Whooping Cough Cases Increasing Here

  • United States Census Bureau - Breakdown of US population Here

  • Research - whooping cough rate has increased from 150 cases per 100,000 population in the pre-vaccine era, to 170-630 cases per 100,000 today Here


Last updated April 13, 2020



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